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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-46 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-46 House Election Winner
Volume $50.9KLiquidity $72.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.1KOpen interest $1.1KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-46-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-46-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-46-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA46-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA46-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CA46-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 94.8% | 97.7% | +0.7 | |
| 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | −1.1 |
Probability chart · Lou Correa (D)
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