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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-47 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-47 House Election Winner
Volume $28.9KLiquidity $40.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.4KOpen interest $4.1KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-47-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-47-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-47-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSECA47-26
HOUSECA47-26-D
HOUSECA47-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 94.8% | 94.6% | +0.7 | |
| 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | −0.6 |
Probability chart · Dave Min (D)
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