← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-48 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-48 House Election Winner
Volume $35.0KLiquidity $74.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $27.6KOpen interest $19.1KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-48-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-48-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-48-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA48-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA48-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CA48-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89.5% | 90.1% | 91.2% | −0.6 | |
| 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | −1.4 |
Probability chart · Marni von Wilpert (D)
loading history
No history to chart yet