← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-49 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-49 House Election Winner
Volume $28.2KLiquidity $46.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $14.7KOpen interest $8.8KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-49-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-49-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-49-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSECA49-26
HOUSECA49-26-R
HOUSECA49-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.0% | 97.2% | 96.0% | −1.2 | |
| 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | +1.7 |
Probability chart · Mike Levin (D)
loading history
No history to chart yet