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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CA-52 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCA-52 House Election Winner
Volume $50.8KLiquidity $47.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $15.0KOpen interest $3.1KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ca-52-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ca-52-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-52-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CA52-26
KXHOUSERACE-CA52-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CA52-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.9% | 97.4% | 97.9% | −1.6 | |
| 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | −0.2 |
Probability chart · Juan Vargas (D)
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