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Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 2
CMA Music Video of the Year 2026
Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $15.2KLiquidity $5.0KEnds Nov 19
Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpenCMA Awards: Music Video of the Year
Volume $2.8KOpen interest $2.2KEnds Nov 18
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: cma-music-video-of-the-year-2026
cma-2026-vidoty-choosin-texas
cma-2026-vidoty-dry-spell
cma-2026-vidoty-gary
cma-2026-vidoty-the-fall
cma-2026-vidoty-white-horse
Kalshi
Market: KXCMA-VIDOTY26
KXCMA-VIDOTY26-CHO
KXCMA-VIDOTY26-DRY
KXCMA-VIDOTY26-GAR
KXCMA-VIDOTY26-THE
KXCMA-VIDOTY26-TIE
KXCMA-VIDOTY26-WHI
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.5% | 56.0% | 59.0% | −5.5 | |
| 14.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% | +8.0 | |
| 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% | +2.3 | |
| 4.2% | 6.5% | 2.0% | −2.3 |
Polymarket only · 1Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
Kalshi only · 2GaryTie
Probability chart · Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
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