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Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 1
CMA New Artist of the Year 2026
Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $7.3KLiquidity $4.9KEnds Nov 19
Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpenCMA Awards: New Artist of the Year
Volume $4.2KOpen interest $3.5KEnds Nov 18
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: cma-new-artist-of-the-year-2026
cma-2026-naoty-avery-anna
cma-2026-naoty-carter-faith
cma-2026-naoty-emily-ann-roberts
cma-2026-naoty-stephen-wilson-jr
cma-2026-naoty-tucker-wetmore
Kalshi
Market: KXCMA-NAOTY26
KXCMA-NAOTY26-AANN
KXCMA-NAOTY26-CFAI
KXCMA-NAOTY26-EROB
KXCMA-NAOTY26-SJR
KXCMA-NAOTY26-TIE
KXCMA-NAOTY26-TWET
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.5% | 45.0% | 48.0% | +4.5 | |
| 41.5% | 43.0% | 53.0% | −1.5 | |
| 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | −1.0 | |
| 3.0% | 3.0% | 10.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | −2.4 |
Kalshi only · 1Tie
Probability chart · Stephen Wilson Jr.
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