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Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 1
CMA Single of the Year 2026
Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $3.8KLiquidity $5.5KEnds Nov 19
Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpenCMA Awards: Single of the Year
Volume $2.1KOpen interest $1.7KEnds Nov 18
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: cma-single-of-the-year-2026
cma-2026-soty-be-her
cma-2026-soty-choosin-texas
cma-2026-soty-i-knew-it-i-knew-you
cma-2026-soty-somewhere-over-laredo
cma-2026-soty-the-fall
Kalshi
Market: KXCMA-SOTY26
KXCMA-SOTY26-BEH
KXCMA-SOTY26-CHO
KXCMA-SOTY26-IKN
KXCMA-SOTY26-SOM
KXCMA-SOTY26-THE
KXCMA-SOTY26-TIE
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81.5% | 82.0% | 78.0% | −0.5 | |
| 17.0% | 13.0% | 15.0% | +4.0 | |
| 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | +0.8 | |
| 0.8% | 2.5% | 5.0% | −1.8 | |
| 0.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | −4.7 |
Kalshi only · 1Tie
Probability chart · Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
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