
CPI core year-over-year in Sep 2026?
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Gap | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.5% | 39.5% | 44.0% | +1.0 | |
| 32.5% | 32.0% | 20.0% | +0.5 | |
| 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | +0.5 | |
| 12.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | +0.5 | |
| 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | −1.5 | |
| 0.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | −4.4 | |
| 0.6% | 2.5% | 8.0% | −1.9 | |
| 0.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | −3.9 |