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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CT-01 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCT-01 House Election Winner
Volume $12.5KLiquidity $79.7KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $5.4KOpen interest $4.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ct-01-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ct-01-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ct-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-CT01-26
KXHOUSERACE-CT01-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-CT01-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 97.6% | 98.6% | −2.1 | |
| 3.4% | 1.9% | 5.2% | +1.5 |
Probability chart · Luke Bronin (D)
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