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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
CT-05 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenCT-05 House Election Winner
Volume $9.1KLiquidity $82.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $7.3KOpen interest $3.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ct-05-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ct-05-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ct-05-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSECT5-26
HOUSECT5-26-R
HOUSECT5-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.7% | 94.8% | 97.6% | −0.2 | |
| 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | +1.5 |
Probability chart · Jahana Hayes (D)
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