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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
FL-02 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenFL-02 House Election Winner
Volume $16.7KLiquidity $71.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $10.1KOpen interest $5.6KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: fl-02-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-fl-02-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-fl-02-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-FL02-26
KXHOUSERACE-FL02-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-FL02-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.5% | 91.4% | 93.7% | −0.9 | |
| 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | −0.4 |
Probability chart · Austin Rogers (R)
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