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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
FL-21 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenFL-21 House Election Winner
Volume $15.9KLiquidity $77.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.6KOpen interest $2.8KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: fl-21-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-fl-21-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-fl-21-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-FL21-26
KXHOUSERACE-FL21-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-FL21-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89.5% | 91.5% | 91.0% | −2.0 | |
| 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 0.0 |
Probability chart · Brian Mast (R)
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