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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Florida Senate winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenFlorida Senate Election Winner
Volume $165.7KLiquidity $160.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.20MOpen interest $940.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: florida-senate-election-winner
will-the-democrats-win-the-florida-senate-race-in-2026
will-the-republicans-win-the-florida-senate-race-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: SENATEFLS-26
SENATEFLS-26-D
SENATEFLS-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.5% | 89.5% | 89.0% | +2.0 | |
| 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | −2.5 |
Probability chart · Ashley Moody (R)
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