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Updated 1s agoPolymarket7 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi4 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 3
Gambia Presidential Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket7 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.9KLiquidity $65.9KEnds Dec 5
Kalshi4 catalog outcomesOpenGambian presidential election winner?
Volume $15.5KOpen interest $6.8KEnds Dec 31
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: gambia-presidential-election-winner
will-adama-barrow-win-the-2026-gambian-presidential-election
will-bakary-k-badjie-win-the-2026-gambian-presidential-election
will-essa-faal-win-the-2026-gambian-presidential-election
will-mama-kandeh-win-the-2026-gambian-presidential-election
will-mohamed-al-amin-bah-win-the-2026-gambian-presidential-election
will-ousainou-darboe-win-the-2026-gambian-presidential-election
will-talib-ahmed-bensouda-win-the-2026-gambian-presidential-election
Kalshi
Market: KXTHEGAMBIAPRES-26
KXTHEGAMBIAPRES-26-ABAR
KXTHEGAMBIAPRES-26-EFAA
KXTHEGAMBIAPRES-26-MKAN
KXTHEGAMBIAPRES-26-ODAR
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70.5% | 70.5% | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 17.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | +9.0 | |
| 4.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | +2.0 | |
| 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.0% | −1.2 |
Polymarket only · 3Bakary K. BadjieMohamed Al Amin BahTalib Ahmed Bensouda
Probability chart · Adama Barrow
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