Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

Compared outcomes

Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.

Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.

Outcome	Polymarket	Mid	Last	Gap
Ella Langley	63.5%	70.5%	69.0%	−7.0
SIENNA SPIRO	26.5%	24.5%	23.0%	+2.0
Adéla	2.9%	1.0%	1.0%	+1.9
The Beaches	2.9%	0.5%	1.0%	+2.4
CMAT	2.7%	0.5%	1.0%	+2.2
Geese	2.5%	3.5%	1.0%	−1.0
Magdalena Bay	2.2%	0.5%	1.0%	+1.7
Slayyyter	2.1%	0.5%	4.0%	+1.6
PARTYOF2	1.9%	0.5%	1.0%	+1.4
Oklou	1.3%	0.5%	1.0%	+0.8
Bella Kay	0.9%	0.5%	1.0%	+0.4
Renee Rapp	0.8%	2.5%	4.0%	−1.7
Loe Shimmy	0.8%	0.5%	1.0%	+0.2
Dijon	0.7%	0.5%	1.0%	+0.2
Megan Moroney	0.7%	2.0%	1.0%	−1.3
JADE	0.7%	0.5%	1.0%	+0.1
Ninajirachi	0.7%	0.5%	1.0%	+0.1
BigXthaPlug	0.6%	0.5%	1.0%	+0.1
EsDeeKid	0.5%	0.5%	1.0%	0.0
Jessie Murph	0.5%	0.5%	1.0%	0.0
Mk.gee	0.5%	0.5%	1.0%	0.0
The Last Dinner Party	0.5%	0.5%	1.0%	0.0
Yazmin Lacey	0.5%	0.5%	1.0%	0.0
Skye Newman	0.4%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.1
Black Country, New Road	0.4%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.1
SAILORR	0.4%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.1
Jordan Ward	0.3%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.2
Model/Actriz	0.3%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.2
Nami	0.3%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.2
Sasha Keable	0.3%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.2

Kalshi only · 37

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