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Updated 1s agoPolymarket9 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi13 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 4
Hamilton Mayoral Election
Updated 1s agoPolymarket9 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $15.0KLiquidity $108.0KEnds Oct 27
Kalshi13 catalog outcomesOpenHamilton mayoral election winner?
Volume $670Open interest $370Ends Oct 26
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: hamilton-mayoral-election-20260810192440416
will-andrea-horwath-win-the-2026-hamilton-ontario-mayoral-election-1786389422492
will-ejaz-butt-win-the-2026-hamilton-ontario-mayoral-election-1786389422495
will-keanin-loomis-win-the-2026-hamilton-ontario-mayoral-election-1786389422493
will-nathalie-xian-yi-yan-win-the-2026-hamilton-ontario-mayoral-election-1786389422500
will-pamela-mitchell-win-the-2026-hamilton-ontario-mayoral-election-1786389422499
will-paul-fromm-win-the-2026-hamilton-ontario-mayoral-election-1786389422497
will-rob-cooper-win-the-2026-hamilton-ontario-mayoral-election-1786389422496
will-sasha-austin-win-the-2026-hamilton-ontario-mayoral-election-1786389422494
will-scarlett-gillespie-win-the-2026-hamilton-ontario-mayoral-election-1786389422498
Kalshi
Market: KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-AHOR
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-DHAR
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-CHER
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-EBUT
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-EJAN
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-KLOO
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-KWAL
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-NYAN
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-PMIT
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-PFRO
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-RCOO
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-SAUS
KXHAMILTONMAYOR-26OCT26-SGIL
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.0% | 61.5% | 67.0% | −6.5 | |
| 29.0% | 31.5% | 34.0% | −2.5 | |
| 10.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% | +6.9 | |
| 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% | +1.0 | |
| 0.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% | −3.3 | |
| 0.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | −2.4 | |
| 0.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% | −2.4 | |
| 0.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% | −2.4 | |
| 0.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% | −2.4 |
Kalshi only · 4David HarrisonDavid Mark CherkewskiErin JanusKevin Walker
Probability chart · Keanin Loomis
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