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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
HI-01 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenHI-01 House Election Winner
Volume $41.2KLiquidity $94.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $108Open interest $108Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: hi-01-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-hi-01-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-hi-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-HI01-26
KXHOUSERACE-HI01-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-HI01-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.8% | 97.2% | 96.4% | −1.4 | |
| 3.5% | 2.5% | 7.8% | +1.1 |
Probability chart · Ed Case (D)
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