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Updated 1s agoPolymarket9 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi30 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 6Kalshi only · 27
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket9 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $3.5KLiquidity $541Ends Nov 1
Kalshi30 catalog outcomesOpenHow low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
Volume $31.1KOpen interest $29.7KEnds Oct 30
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: how-low-will-2-year-treasury-yield-get-in-october
will-the-2-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt40-in-october
will-the-2-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt45-in-october
will-the-2-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt50-in-october
will-the-2-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt55-in-october
will-the-2-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt60-in-october
will-the-2-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt64-in-october
will-the-2-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt67-in-october
will-the-2-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt70-in-october
will-the-2-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-4pt73-in-october
Kalshi
Market: KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.63
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.64
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.65
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.66
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.67
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.68
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.69
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.70
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.71
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.72
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.73
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.74
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.75
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.76
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.77
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.78
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.79
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.80
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.81
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.82
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.83
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.84
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.85
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.86
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.87
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.88
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.89
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.90
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.91
KX2YRDIRLM-26OCT30L-T4.92
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 64.5% | 0.0% | −2.5 | |
| 57.5% | 47.0% | 0.0% | +10.5 | |
| 53.5% | 53.0% | 66.0% | +0.5 |
Polymarket only · 6Below 4.40%Below 4.45%Below 4.50%Below 4.55%Below 4.60%Below 4.70%
Kalshi only · 274.62% or below4.63% or below4.65% or below4.66% or below4.68% or below4.69% or below4.7% or below4.71% or below
Probability chart · Below 4.73%
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