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Updated 1s agoPolymarket10 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi9 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 2Kalshi only · 1
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket10 catalog outcomesOpenHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
Volume $10.9KLiquidity $174.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi9 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $4.4KOpen interest $3.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: how-many-house-seats-will-the-democrats-win-in-florida
will-democrats-win-exactly-10-house-seats-in-florida-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010741726
will-democrats-win-exactly-11-house-seats-in-florida-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010741727
will-democrats-win-12-or-more-house-seats-in-florida-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010741728
will-democrats-win-exactly-4-house-seats-in-florida-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010741720
will-democrats-win-exactly-5-house-seats-in-florida-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010741721
will-democrats-win-exactly-6-house-seats-in-florida-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010741722
will-democrats-win-exactly-7-house-seats-in-florida-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010741723
will-democrats-win-exactly-8-house-seats-in-florida-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010741724
will-democrats-win-exactly-9-house-seats-in-florida-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010741725
will-democrats-win-fewer-than-4-house-seats-in-florida-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010741719
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-10-10
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-4-4
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-5-5
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-6-6
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-7-7
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-8-8
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-9-9
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-A10
KXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-B4
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5% | 16.0% | 17.0% | −2.5 | |
| 12.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | +4.1 | |
| 12.6% | 12.0% | 16.0% | +0.6 | |
| 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | −1.3 | |
| 11.5% | 12.5% | 18.0% | −1.0 | |
| 10.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | +3.0 | |
| 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | −0.9 | |
| 0.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | −2.0 |
Polymarket only · 21112+
Kalshi only · 1Above 10
Probability chart · 7
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