← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket8 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi8 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket8 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $116.5KLiquidity $75.9KEnds Jan 2
Kalshi8 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $182.1KOpen interest $74.5KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: how-many-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533306
will-over-50-senators-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533307
will-over-55-senators-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533308
will-over-58-senators-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533309
will-over-60-senators-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533310
will-over-62-senators-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533311
will-over-64-senators-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533312
will-over-66-senators-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533313
will-over-68-senators-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533314
Kalshi
Market: KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16
KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T50
KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T55
KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T58
KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T60
KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T62
KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T64
KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T66
KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T68
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | −0.5 | |
| 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | +1.0 | |
| 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | −0.5 | |
| 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% | +0.2 | |
| 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | +0.5 | |
| 7.0% | 5.0% | 45.0% | +2.0 | |
| 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | −2.0 | |
| 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | −0.5 |
Probability chart · Above 58
loading history
No history to chart yet