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Updated 1s agoPolymarket6 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi11 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 4Kalshi only · 9
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket6 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $52.9KLiquidity $71.6KEnds Oct 4
Kalshi11 catalog outcomesOpenTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
Volume $343.1KOpen interest $154.5KEnds Oct 6
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-28
will-20-24-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-september-28-october-4
will-25-29-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-september-28-october-4
will-30-34-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-september-28-october-4
will-35-39-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-september-28-october-4
will-40-or-more-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-september-28-october-4
will-fewer-than-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-september-28-october-4
Kalshi
Market: KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T10
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T100
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T15
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T20
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T25
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T30
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T35
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T40
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T45
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T50
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26OCT04-T75
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8% | 90.5% | 91.0% | −81.7 | |
| 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | +0.8 |
Polymarket only · 420-2425-2930-3435-39
Kalshi only · 9Above 10Above 100Above 15Above 25Above 30Above 35Above 45Above 50
Probability chart · <20
loading history
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