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Updated 1s agoPolymarket6 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 3
Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket6 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $28.1KLiquidity $107.1KEnds Oct 28
Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $8.1KOpen interest $5.7KEnds Oct 27
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: huon-valley-mayoral-election-winner-2026
will-abby-mckibben-win-the-2026-huon-valley-mayoral-election
will-mark-jessop-win-the-2026-huon-valley-mayoral-election
will-marshall-callaghan-win-the-2026-huon-valley-mayoral-election
will-paul-gibson-win-the-2026-huon-valley-mayoral-election
will-sally-doyle-win-the-2026-huon-valley-mayoral-election
will-toby-thorpe-win-the-2026-huon-valley-mayoral-election
Kalshi
Market: KXHUONMAYOR-26OCT27
KXHUONMAYOR-26OCT27-AMCK
KXHUONMAYOR-26OCT27-MJES
KXHUONMAYOR-26OCT27-PGIB
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.0% | 47.0% | 27.0% | −9.0 | |
| 32.5% | 32.0% | 30.0% | +0.5 | |
| 28.0% | 32.0% | 32.0% | −4.0 |
Polymarket only · 3Marshall CallaghanSally DoyleToby Thorpe
Probability chart · Paul Gibson
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