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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 1
IA-01 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenIA-01 House Election Winner
Volume $40.4KLiquidity $83.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $232.8KOpen interest $93.7KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ia-01-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ia-01-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ia-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSEIA1-26
HOUSEIA1-26-D
HOUSEIA1-26-R
HOUSEIA1-26-I
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.0% | 84.5% | 84.0% | +0.5 | |
| 15.0% | 16.5% | 17.0% | −1.5 |
Kalshi only · 1Michael Bridgford
Probability chart · Christina Bohannan (D)
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