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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
IA-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenIA-03 House Election Winner
Volume $11.2KLiquidity $48.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $69.7KOpen interest $57.6KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ia-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ia-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ia-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSEIA3-26
HOUSEIA3-26-D
HOUSEIA3-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.5% | 77.5% | 78.0% | −1.0 | |
| 21.5% | 23.5% | 24.0% | −2.0 |
Probability chart · Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
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