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Updated 1s agoPolymarket3 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 1
Idaho Senate winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket3 catalog outcomesOpenIdaho Senate Election Winner
Volume $122.8KLiquidity $171.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $290.6KOpen interest $209.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: idaho-senate-election-winner
will-the-democrats-win-the-idaho-senate-race-in-2026
will-the-republicans-win-the-idaho-senate-race-in-2026
will-person-a-win-the-idaho-senate-race-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: SENATEID-26
SENATEID-26-D
SENATEID-26-R
SENATEID-26-TACH
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.7% | 92.5% | 92.4% | +2.2 | |
| 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | −2.4 |
Polymarket only · 1Democrat
Kalshi only · 1David Roth
Probability chart · Jim Risch (R)
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