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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
IL-02 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenIL-02 House Election Winner
Volume $36.4KLiquidity $43.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.2KOpen interest $492Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: il-02-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-il-02-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-il-02-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-IL02-26
KXHOUSERACE-IL02-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-IL02-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.9% | 95.7% | 95.0% | +0.2 | |
| 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | +0.2 |
Probability chart · Donna Miller (D)
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