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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi4 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 2
IL-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenIL-04 House Election Winner
Volume $61.7KLiquidity $39.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi4 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $17.6KOpen interest $10.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: il-04-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-il-04-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-il-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26
KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26-CGET
KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26-MMAC
KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.2% | 95.5% | 97.2% | +0.7 | |
| 4.0% | 1.9% | 8.9% | +2.1 |
Kalshi only · 2Chris GettyMayra Macías
Probability chart · Patty Garcia (D)
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