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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
IL-08 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenIL-08 House Election Winner
Volume $22.1KLiquidity $101.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $7.7KOpen interest $5.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: il-08-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-il-08-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-il-08-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-IL08-26
KXHOUSERACE-IL08-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-IL08-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.5% | 93.2% | 95.0% | +0.3 | |
| 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | −1.2 |
Probability chart · Melissa Bean (D)
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