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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
IL-09 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenIL-09 House Election Winner
Volume $31.9KLiquidity $39.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.9KOpen interest $839Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: il-09-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-il-09-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-il-09-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-IL09-26
KXHOUSERACE-IL09-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-IL09-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.0% | 97.6% | 95.0% | −0.6 | |
| 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | +0.1 |
Probability chart · Daniel Biss (D)
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