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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
IL-12 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenIL-12 House Election Winner
Volume $25.2KLiquidity $36.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $7.3KOpen interest $4.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: il-12-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-il-12-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-il-12-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26
KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.7% | 96.6% | 95.0% | −0.9 | |
| 2.9% | 3.0% | 7.6% | 0.0 |
Probability chart · Mike Bost (R)
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