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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
IN-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenIN-03 House Election Winner
Volume $26.4KLiquidity $69.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $973Open interest $861Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: in-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-in-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-in-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-IN03-26
KXHOUSERACE-IN03-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-IN03-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.9% | 95.0% | 92.5% | −0.1 | |
| 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | −0.3 |
Probability chart · Marlin Stutzman (R)
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