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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
IN-04 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $25.6KLiquidity $76.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenIN-04 House winner?
Volume $6.8KOpen interest $4.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: in-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-in-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-in-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-IN04-26
KXHOUSERACE-IN04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-IN04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.5% | 94.0% | 93.2% | +0.4 | |
| 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | −1.9 |
Probability chart · Jim Baird (R)
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