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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $729.4KLiquidity $327.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenIowa Senate winner?
Volume $4.41MOpen interest $2.76MEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: iowa-senate-election-winner
will-the-republicans-win-the-iowa-senate-race-in-2026
will-the-democrats-win-the-iowa-senate-race-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: SENATEIA-26
SENATEIA-26-R
SENATEIA-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.5% | 56.5% | 57.0% | +1.0 | |
| 42.5% | 43.5% | 44.0% | −1.0 |
Probability chart · Ashley Hinson (R)
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