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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kentucky Senate winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenKentucky Senate Election Winner
Volume $36.5KLiquidity $126.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $182.5KOpen interest $88.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: kentucky-senate-election-winner
will-the-republicans-win-the-kentucky-senate-race-in-2026
will-the-democrats-win-the-kentucky-senate-race-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: SENATELA-26
SENATELA-26-R
SENATELA-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.5% | 96.4% | 96.1% | +0.1 | |
| 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | −0.8 |
Probability chart · Andy Barr (R)
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