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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
KY-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenKY-04 House Election Winner
Volume $46.1KLiquidity $51.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $42.0KOpen interest $15.8KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ky-04-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ky-04-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ky-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-KY04-26
KXHOUSERACE-KY04-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-KY04-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.3% | 94.7% | 95.7% | +1.6 | |
| 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | −2.7 |
Probability chart · Ed Gallrein (R)
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