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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
LA-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenLA-03 House Election Winner
Volume $35.5KLiquidity $74.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $3.4KOpen interest $2.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: la-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-la-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-la-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-LA03-26
KXHOUSERACE-LA03-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-LA03-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 95.3% | 97.9% | +0.2 | |
| 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | −0.6 |
Probability chart · Republican Party
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