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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
LA-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenLA-04 House Election Winner
Volume $18.3KLiquidity $90.7KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $3.0KOpen interest $1.8KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: la-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-la-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-la-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-LA04-26
KXHOUSERACE-LA04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-LA04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.5% | 94.3% | 95.4% | +0.2 | |
| 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | −0.3 |
Probability chart · Republican Party
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