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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
LA-05 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenLA-05 House Election Winner
Volume $24.8KLiquidity $80.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $14.6KOpen interest $7.8KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: la-05-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-la-05-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-la-05-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-LA05-26
KXHOUSERACE-LA05-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-LA05-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.8% | 94.3% | 97.6% | −1.5 | |
| 5.8% | 5.4% | 1.9% | +0.4 |
Probability chart · Republican Party
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