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Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi4 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1
Launceston Mayoral Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $12.3KLiquidity $56.5KEnds Oct 28
Kalshi4 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.5KOpen interest $1.6KEnds Oct 27
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: launceston-mayoral-election-winner-2026
will-kyle-barrett-win-the-2026-launceston-mayoral-election
will-matthew-garwood-win-the-2026-launceston-mayoral-election
will-paul-mallett-win-the-2026-launceston-mayoral-election
will-rose-diamond-win-the-2026-launceston-mayoral-election
will-tim-walker-win-the-2026-launceston-mayoral-election
Kalshi
Market: KXLAUNCESTONMAYOR-26OCT27
KXLAUNCESTONMAYOR-26OCT27-KBAR
KXLAUNCESTONMAYOR-26OCT27-MGAR
KXLAUNCESTONMAYOR-26OCT27-PMAL
KXLAUNCESTONMAYOR-26OCT27-RDIA
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.0% | 55.0% | 59.0% | +4.0 | |
| 20.0% | 15.0% | 19.0% | +5.0 | |
| 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1.8% | 3.5% | 7.0% | −1.7 |
Polymarket only · 1Tim Walker
Probability chart · Matthew Garwood
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