← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket23 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi10 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 17Kalshi only · 4
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket23 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $677.6KLiquidity $321.9KEnds May 11
Kalshi10 catalog outcomesOpenLebanese general election winner?
Volume $28.9KOpen interest $7.5KEnds May 11
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: lebanon-parliamentary-election-winner
will-amal-movement-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-arab-socialist-baath-party-in-lebanon-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-armenian-revolutionary-federation-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-dignity-movement-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-free-patriotic-movement-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-hezbollah-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-independence-movement-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-islamic-charitable-projects-association-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-islamic-group-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-kataeb-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-khatt-ahmar-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-lana-social-democratic-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-lebanese-forces-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-mada-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-marada-movement-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-national-dialogue-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-national-liberal-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-popular-nasserist-organization-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-progressive-socialist-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-relebanon-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-taqaddom-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-union-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
will-watani-alliance-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election
Kalshi
Market: KXLEBANONPARLI-26
KXLEBANONPARLI-26-AMAL
KXLEBANONPARLI-26-EPOS
KXLEBANONPARLI-26-FPM
KXLEBANONPARLI-26-HEZBOLLAH
KXLEBANONPARLI-26-IND
KXLEBANONPARLI-26-KATAEB
KXLEBANONPARLI-26-FORCES
KXLEBANONPARLI-26-MARADE
KXLEBANONPARLI-26-PSP
KXLEBANONPARLI-26-TASHNAG
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | −8.3 | |
| 0.3% | 12.0% | 16.0% | −11.8 | |
| 0.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | −3.4 | |
| 0.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | −2.2 | |
| 0.1% | 2.3% | 5.0% | −2.2 | |
| 0.1% | 2.3% | 5.0% | −2.2 |
Polymarket only · 17Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)Dignity Movement (DM)Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)Islamic Group (IG)Khatt AhmarLana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)
Kalshi only · 4Election Postponed Beyond ExpirationFPMPSPTashnag
Probability chart · Amal Movement (Amal)
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