Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Compared outcomes

Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.

Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.

Outcome	Polymarket	Mid	Last	Gap
Rafael López Aliaga	94.7%	90.0%	98.0%	+4.7
Francis James Allison Oyague	1.5%	9.5%	21.0%	−8.0
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli	0.3%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.3
Yehude Simón Munaro	0.1%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.5
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega	0.1%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.5
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera	0.1%	0.5%	2.0%	−0.5
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo	0.1%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.5
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar	0.1%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.5
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype	0.1%	0.5%	1.0%	−0.5

Polymarket only · 14

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de OcaEdgardo Renán De Pomar VizcarraElizabeth María del Rosario León ChinchayFlor de María Hurtado ValdezJessica Viviana Linares RomeroLuis Alberto Huette TolentinoRubén Daniel Bonilla EspinozaRubén José Ramírez Mateo+6 more

Kalshi only · 2

Carlos BruceSusel Paredes