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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MA-01 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMA-01 House Election Winner
Volume $55.9KLiquidity $39.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.6KOpen interest $1.1KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ma-01-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ma-01-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ma-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MA01-26
KXHOUSERACE-MA01-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-MA01-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 96.3% | 93.7% | −0.8 | |
| 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.9% | +0.2 |
Probability chart · Richard Neal (D)
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