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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MA-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMA-04 House Election Winner
Volume $48.2KLiquidity $40.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.1KOpen interest $2.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ma-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ma-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ma-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MA04-26
KXHOUSERACE-MA04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-MA04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.3% | 97.6% | 90.9% | −0.3 | |
| 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | +0.5 |
Probability chart · Jake Auchincloss (D)
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