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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MA-08 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMA-08 House Election Winner
Volume $27.9KLiquidity $35.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $534Open interest $447Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ma-08-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ma-08-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ma-08-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MA08-26
KXHOUSERACE-MA08-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-MA08-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.5% | 97.1% | 95.4% | +0.4 | |
| 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | −1.3 |
Probability chart · Stephen Lynch (D)
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