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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MA-09 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMA-09 House Election Winner
Volume $28.3KLiquidity $84.7KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $949Open interest $938Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ma-09-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ma-09-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ma-09-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MA09-26
KXHOUSERACE-MA09-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-MA09-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.7% | 96.4% | 94.0% | −0.7 | |
| 2.6% | 2.4% | 6.7% | +0.2 |
Probability chart · Bill Keating (D)
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