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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MD-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMD-03 House Election Winner
Volume $53.1KLiquidity $34.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.1KOpen interest $1.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: md-03-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-md-03-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-md-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MD03-26
KXHOUSERACE-MD03-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-MD03-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 94.5% | 96.8% | +1.0 | |
| 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | −2.3 |
Probability chart · Sarah Elfreth (D)
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