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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MD-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMD-04 House Election Winner
Volume $47.8KLiquidity $39.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $588Open interest $556Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: md-04-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-md-04-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-md-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MD04-26
KXHOUSERACE-MD04-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-MD04-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.5% | 98.4% | 92.9% | −0.9 | |
| 0.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | −1.6 |
Probability chart · Glenn Ivey (D)
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