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Updated 1s agoPolymarket13 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi5 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 13Kalshi only · 5
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket13 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $8.09MLiquidity $23.8KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi5 catalog outcomesOpenMeasles cases in 2026?
Volume $1.10MOpen interest $284.3KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: measles-cases-in-us-in-2026
will-there-be-at-least-10000-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026-418-668-617-245-787-217
will-there-be-at-least-12500-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026-512-499-859-689-415
will-there-be-at-least-1000-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026
will-there-be-at-least-2000-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026
will-there-be-at-least-3500-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026
will-there-be-at-least-3000-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026-346
will-there-be-at-least-4500-measles-cases-in-the-uptspt-in-2026-20260811165941230
will-there-be-at-least-4750-measles-cases-in-the-uptspt-in-2026
will-there-be-at-least-4000-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026-416
will-there-be-at-least-500-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026
will-there-be-at-least-5000-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026-436-426-345-291
will-there-be-at-least-6000-measles-cases-in-the-uptspt-in-2026-954
will-there-be-at-least-7500-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026-287-181-314-511-633
Kalshi
Market: KXMEASLES-26
KXMEASLES-26-10000
KXMEASLES-26-3000
KXMEASLES-26-4000
KXMEASLES-26-6000
KXMEASLES-26-8000
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No aligned outcomes between these venue lists. | ||||
Polymarket only · 13↑10k↑12.5k↑1k↑2k↑3.5k↑3k↑4.5k↑4.75k
Kalshi only · 5Above 10000Above 3000Above 4000Above 6000Above 8000
Probability chart
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