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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MI-01 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMI-01 House Election Winner
Volume $23.6KLiquidity $74.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $23.6KOpen interest $6.8KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: mi-01-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-mi-01-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-mi-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MI01-26
KXHOUSERACE-MI01-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-MI01-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.5% | 89.7% | 91.6% | +0.8 | |
| 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | −2.3 |
Probability chart · Jack Bergman (R)
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